John burr williams biography
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Theory of Investment Value
CBNC story on Buffett
4. You have to discount the future.
To “discount” the numbers back, as Buffett remarked, is the third question that proceeds from Aesop’s original “mathematics of investment”:
What’s the right discount rate?
That question is the key to evaluating the value of a company’s cash generation, and it circles back around to Buffett’s example of an investor expecting a farm to generate a 7 percent return, and basing a purchase decision on that return assumption and the current business price. There are essentially two components to the discount rate-based risk modeling: the concept of time value of money, and the additional risk premium for the investment.
The time value of money is typically accounted for using the long-term government rate. It is the way investors contend with the fact that the value of a dollar today will be lower in the future. The additional ri
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